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TechnologyPublished: 13 September 2026 at 22:45

AI industry reignites debate over existential-risk warnings amid Anthropic IPO buildup

A researcher's resignation from Anthropic over safety fears, followed by the company's alignment lead publicly estimating over 10% odds AI could wipe out humanity, has sparked fresh debate about what's really driving such warnings. TechCrunch journalists questioned whether the timing relates to Anthropic's upcoming IPO.

Foto: TechCrunch

A fresh round of debate has broken out in the AI industry over whether the technology poses a genuine existential threat to humanity. The discussion was triggered when researcher Jacob Coxon announced his resignation from Anthropic, saying leading AI companies are "gambling with our lives." Anthropic's alignment lead then publicly amplified the sentiment, stating he earnestly believes AI could kill all humans, and that he personally puts the odds at more than 10% within the next decade.

Podcast discussion

On TechCrunch's Equity podcast, hosts Kirsten Korosec, Sean O'Kane, and Anthony Ha discussed the controversy. Ha expressed skepticism toward "doomer" narratives, arguing that the cited 10% figure appears to be an arbitrary number without real calculation behind it. Korosec raised the possibility that such apocalyptic statements function as an unusual form of bragging about a company's AI capabilities — since a model wouldn't need to be feared unless it were genuinely powerful.

O'Kane pointed out that the comments arrive just weeks before Anthropic's expected IPO, speculating that the company's S-1 filing might already contain similarly worded risk-factor language acknowledging the possibility that its technology could cause catastrophic harm.

A different case

The hosts noted that Coxon's decision stands apart from other AI leaders who voice similar warnings while continuing their work, since he backed his stated concerns with concrete action by leaving the field. Ha also warned that fixating on distant scenarios like artificial general intelligence risks distracting from AI's more immediate harms, such as labor market disruption and environmental impact. The episode was recorded before Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei published his own plan for more cautious AI development.

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