August poll: six parties would enter Saeima, "United List" strengthens lead
An SKDS poll for August shows the "United List," led by Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, continuing to gain support and topping the ranking, while six parties would currently clear the threshold to enter the Saeima.
Latvia's SKDS research centre conducted a survey from August 13 to 19 asking which party respondents would vote for if a Saeima election were held soon. The poll included 1,205 Latvian citizens, and the figures reflect all eligible voters, including undecided respondents and those who said they would not vote.
The "United List," associated with Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, leads with 15.2% support, up from 12.2% in July, confirming a continued rise in popularity. "Sovereign Power/Latvian Nationalists Union" holds second place with 11.8%, slightly up from 11.4% in July. "The Progressives" rank third at 8.8%, a small dip from 9%, but still ahead of "Latvia First," whose support fell more sharply from 10% to 8.5%.
The National Alliance lost ground in August, dropping from 5.5% to 4.5%, while "New Unity" slipped slightly from 4.3% to 4.2%. The Union of Greens and Farmers continued its gradual decline, from 2.9% to 2.8%.
Smaller parties gain
Meanwhile, "For Stability!" and "For Latvia's Development" both crossed the 2% mark, rising from 1.9% to 2.7% and from 1.7% to 2.5% respectively. "We Change the Rules" saw support fall from 2.4% to 1.6%. They are followed by "Harmony," "Rising Sun for Latvia," the Gobzems list, and the New Conservative Party.
Among all respondents, 22.5% said they did not know who to vote for, and 11.2% said they would not participate in the election. Looking only at those who have decided and accounting for their intention to vote, six parties would clear the 5% threshold to enter parliament: "United List," "Sovereign Power/Latvian Nationalists Union," "The Progressives," "Latvia First," "New Unity," and the National Alliance.
Latvia's Saeima election is scheduled for Saturday, October 3, with polling stations open from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voters may cast ballots at any polling station.
