Monday, 5 October 2026
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WorldPublished: 5 October 2026 at 02:23

Brazil's upcoming presidential election could reshape ties with the U.S. and China

As a major global supplier of oil, soybeans and critical minerals, Brazil's upcoming presidential election could shift its trade relationships with both the United States and China, according to Americas Quarterly editor in chief Brian Winter.

Brazil holds a significant position in global trade as one of the world's largest suppliers of oil, soybeans and critical minerals. This standing means that political and economic decisions made in Brasília ripple far beyond South America, affecting global commodity supply chains.

Brian Winter, editor in chief of Americas Quarterly, points out that the outcome of Brazil's upcoming presidential election could meaningfully alter the country's trade direction with two major powers: the United States and China.

Stakes for global trade

Brazil's natural resources are in high demand across both American and Chinese industry and economic sectors. Because of this, which political direction prevails in the election may determine which of the two powers Brazil aligns more closely with economically in the years ahead.

Winter notes that this is not merely a domestic political matter — it also touches on the broader global balance between the U.S. and China, as both countries compete for influence across Latin America and access to the region's resources.

The source material does not specify an election date or name particular candidates, but it emphasizes that the result could become a significant factor shaping future international trade relationships.

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