Emor poll: Isamaa and Centre Party continue to lead in Estonia
According to Emor's June survey, Isamaa and the Centre Party remain the most popular political parties in Estonia, with their support levels within the statistical margin of error. The Centre Party's support increased among Estonians but decreased among other nationalities.
The June poll by sociological service Emor shows that Isamaa and the Centre Party continue to lead the political party rankings in Estonia. Isamaa is supported by 23.5% of voters, while the Centre Party has 21.5%, and the difference is within the statistical margin of error. The Social Democratic Party (SDE) ranks third with 16.2%, followed by EKRE with 13.4% and the ruling Reform Party with 12.0%.
The Right Party has 8.7% support, Eesti 200 – 2.1%, and other parties (Koos, Greens, Estonian Nationalists and Conservatives) are below 1%. The combined support for the ruling coalition (Reform + Eesti 200) in June is 14%.
When including undecided respondents (23%), Isamaa has 18.2%, Centre Party – 16.7%, SDE – 12.5%, EKRE – 10.4%, Reform Party – 9.2%, Right – 6.7%, and Eesti 200 – 1.6%.
Among ethnic Estonians, Isamaa leads with 27%, followed by SDE (18%), EKRE (15%), Reform Party (14%), Centre Party (13%, up from 9% in May), Right (10%), and Eesti 200 (2%). Among non-Estonians, the Centre Party dominates with 66% (down from 74% in May), followed by SDE and Koos (7% each), Isamaa (6%), and EKRE (5%).
In Tallinn, the Centre Party remains the most popular with 30% (down from 35%), followed by SDE (21%), Isamaa (19%), Reform Party (12%), EKRE (7%), Right (6%), and Eesti 200 (3%). In Ida-Virumaa, 54% support the Centre Party (down from 62%), while in all other regions Isamaa is first.
Demographic breakdown: SDE is most popular among ages 18–24 and 25–34; Isamaa among 50–64 and 65–74; Isamaa and Centre are nearly tied among 35–49; Centre leads among 75+. Men favor Isamaa and EKRE; women favor SDE, Centre, and Reform.
The survey was conducted by Kantar Emor from June 8 to 17 using combined online and telephone interviews. It included 1,587 eligible Estonian citizens, with a maximum margin of error of ±2.1%.
