War, talks, repeat: How to break the cycle between US and Iran?
The 60-day ceasefire signed by the US and Iran three weeks ago fell apart on July 8, highlighting a recurring cycle of conflict and diplomacy that has long characterized their relations.
Ceasefire collapse
Three weeks after the US and Iran signed a 60-day ceasefire, it fell apart on July 8. The initial agreement came after the US and Israel launched a war on February 28 that killed Iran's Supreme Leader on the first day.
Leverage through the Strait of Hormuz
Iran has discovered it has more leverage than previously imagined, using the Strait of Hormuz as a bargaining chip. In response, US President Donald Trump threatened a 20 percent toll on commercial vessels passing through the strait on Monday, but later reversed his decision.
Perpetual cycle
As missiles fly across the Gulf and crude oil prices hit four-week highs, a broader question emerges: Why does this cycle of war, talks, televised signing ceremonies, and a return to hostilities persist? Are we merely spectators in this performative drama, and how can it be broken?
