What each team needs to make the World Cup knockouts

With the World Cup expanded to 48 teams, 32 advance to the knockout stages: the top two from each of the 12 groups and the eight best third-placed sides. Tie-breakers are head-to-head, goal difference, goals scored, disciplinary record, and FIFA ranking.

Group A – Mexico have already won the group. South Korea need only a draw against South Africa to secure second place. Czech Republic and South Africa, both on one point, must win to have any chance.

Group B – Switzerland top the group. Canada finish second. Bosnia-Herzegovina are third with four points, likely enough to advance as one of the best third-placed teams.

Group C – Brazil and Morocco have qualified. Scotland are third with three points and a -3 goal difference; Opta gives them a 42% chance of advancing as a best third-place side.

Group D – USA are group winners. Australia need a draw against Paraguay to finish second, while Paraguay must win to leapfrog them.

Group E – Germany have won the group. Ivory Coast need a draw against Curacao to secure second. Curacao can still finish second if they win and Ecuador lose or draw.

Group F – Netherlands are guaranteed a top-two spot. Japan need a point against Sweden to seal automatic qualification. Sweden can only advance automatically with a win.

Group G – Egypt lead the group. Iran must beat Egypt to qualify. Belgium can go through with a win over New Zealand.

Group H – Spain need a draw against Uruguay to guarantee a top-two finish. Uruguay can qualify with a win. Cape Verde must win and hope for other results.

Group I – France and Norway have already qualified; they play for top spot.

Group J – Argentina have topped the group. Austria and Algeria face off for second place; Austria need only a draw.

Group K – Colombia have secured a top-two spot. Portugal can clinch second with a draw. DR Congo must win and overcome a goal difference deficit to have a chance.

Group L – England lead on goal difference ahead of Ghana. England must match or better Ghana's result against Croatia to stay top.