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BalticsPublished: 25 June 2026 at 09:37

Latest Norstat poll sees Center catching up to Isamaa

A new Norstat poll shows Isamaa's support dropping by 1.3 percentage points over the past three weeks, while the Center Party gained the same amount, narrowing the gap to 4 points.

Foto: ERR News

According to the latest survey by Norstat Eesti AS and the Institute for Societal Studies, support for Isamaa has fallen by 1.3 percentage points over the past three weeks, bringing it to 26% among eligible voters. The Center Party, in second place, increased its support by the same margin to 22%, reducing the gap between the two parties to 4 percentage points. The Social Democratic Party (SDE) moved into third place with 14.5%, up 1.4 points over the past four weeks.

Following the top three are EKRE (13.4%), the Reform Party (12.7%), Parempoolsed (6.7%), and Eesti 200 (1.5%). The governing coalition parties (Reform and Eesti 200) together have 14.2% support, while opposition parties in the Riigikogu enjoy 75.9%.

The survey covered the period from May 25 to June 20, with 4,000 voting-age citizens of Estonia interviewed. Norstat's results are based on the combined four-week data to smooth out short-term fluctuations. The maximum margin of error for the largest group (Isamaa supporters) is ±1.62 percentage points, while for smaller parties like Eesti 200 it is ±0.45 points.

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