Could shifts on Sudan's battlefield reshape the country's political future?
Battlefield gains by Sudan's army, defections from the rival Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and a political push by General al-Burhan suggest the prolonged conflict may be entering a new phase.
Sudan remains locked in a prolonged armed conflict between its national army and the rival paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF). Recent developments suggest the balance of power on the battlefield may be tilting in the army's favour.
The army has reported gains in its fight against RSF units. At the same time, defections from RSF ranks appear to be increasing, with fighters leaving the paramilitary group that has been one of the central actors in the conflict since it began.
A political push
Against this military backdrop, army chief and Sudan's de facto leader, General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, has stepped up a political initiative. Observers are linking this move to possible changes in the country's next political phase.
Taken together, the three developments — the army's battlefield gains, internal weakening of the RSF through defections, and al-Burhan's political push — are being seen as a potential turning point in the long-running war. Analysts suggest the interplay between these factors could shape the terms under which any future political process unfolds, though the overall situation remains uncertain and the path ahead is unclear.
