US Open: Kalinskaya and Navarro meet for a spot in the quarterfinals

Match context

On Sunday, September 6, at approximately 8:40 p.m. ET (broadcast on ESPN), Anna Kalinskaya and Emma Navarro will play in the Round of 16 of the US Open women's singles draw on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Both players are ranked inside the top 30.

Kalinskaya is a two-time major quarterfinalist, and her current run is already her best-ever result at the US Open. Navarro, a former US Open semifinalist, is reaching the fourth round of a major for the first time in 2026.

Season form

Entering the tournament, Kalinskaya's 2026 record stood at 24-17, while Navarro's was 21-19. Navarro's numbers were affected by a health issue that led to a 5-11 start to the year, and her form remained uneven heading into the US Open after early exits in Washington, Toronto and Cincinnati. Even so, she has gone 3-1 against top-10 opponents in 2026.

Road to the Round of 16

Both players advanced to this stage on the back of statement wins. In the third round, Navarro beat Wimbledon finalist Karolina Muchova 6-3, 7-5, while Kalinskaya defeated world No. 9 Elina Svitolina 6-3, 2-6, 6-3. Before that, both had had a relatively quiet hard-court summer, each going 4-3 across three tournaments.

Head-to-head and key numbers

Kalinskaya leads the head-to-head series 2-0, having beaten Navarro earlier this season in Doha as well as in a previous meeting in 2022. Their career hard-court win rates are similar — 55.1% for Kalinskaya and 56.1% for Navarro.

One factor that could shape the outcome is Kalinskaya's struggle with double faults throughout the tournament: she has already committed 28, including 14 in her match against Svitolina, against just 9 aces. Navarro, meanwhile, was sharp on return against Muchova, winning 52% of her opponent's service points.

According to betting and prediction platform PrizePicks, Navarro is a slight favorite heading into the match, though the source notes the margin is thin.