Analysis: Ida-Viru County residents' expectations for the future
A University of Tartu survey of over 1,200 residents shows that Ida-Viru County is worried about health care, jobs and what happens after EU funding ends. Experts recommend stronger mental health support, youth retention measures and low-risk community grants.
Social scientists from the University of Tartu conducted a large-scale survey in Ida-Viru County at the beginning of this year, involving more than 1,200 respondents. The findings show that many local residents feel recent changes have mostly harmed their daily lives and weakened their confidence in the future. People are more concerned about immediate needs such as the shortage of dentists and psychiatric care than about ideological debates.
Health and well-being
One in four residents shows signs of generalized anxiety disorder, nearly half experience mild anxiety, and a quarter are at risk of moderate depression. Although self-rated health improved between 2004 and 2022, income and employment inequality have grown. Health experts point to limited access to children's mental health services and dental care, as well as low health literacy. They stress that health promotion must be adapted to local language and culture, and that the stigma around seeking help needs to be reduced.
Youth outmigration
Nearly one in two residents aged 18 to 24 plans to leave the county. Researchers suggest building a clear education-to-employment pathway that combines vocational training, internships and a first job. They also propose a starter package that links the first job with affordable housing, along with a lively public space for culture and self-expression.
Communities and work
Community-led initiatives in Ida-Viru County remain fragile, even though more than half of residents voluntarily help their neighbours. Only about half as many take part in organized volunteering. Reliable support for community leaders, low-risk seed money and simple microgrants are needed. Two-thirds of residents believe economic changes will make it harder to find suitable work, yet most employed people are satisfied with their current jobs. A good job is defined by security, supportive colleagues and health safety.
Entrepreneurship and the future
Around 13% of working-age residents are already entrepreneurs, while one-third of those aged 18–34 plan to start a business. They mainly need premises and training. The Just Transition Fund has brought significant investment, but uncertainty remains about the period after funding ends. A proposed "polycentric Estonia" initiative aims to direct more investment outside Harju County, but the long-term impact is still unclear.
