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BalticsPublished: 2 July 2026 at 07:36

Estonian Opposition Parties Surge Ahead of Coalition; Center Party and Isamaa Tied for Lead

In June, Estonia's Center Party and Isamaa are tied for the lead with 22% support each, according to a Turu-uuringute AS poll. The governing coalition parties (Reform Party and Eesti 200) together command only 15% of voter support, while 73% would vote for opposition parties.

Foto: ERR (rus)

According to data from the research firm Turu-uuringute AS, the popularity ratings of Estonia's political parties have shifted in June. The Center Party and Isamaa are now tied for first place with 22% support each, whereas in May the Center Party led alone with 25%.

Isamaa's approval rose from 20% to 22%, while the Center Party dropped from 25% to 22%. The Social Democratic Party sits in third place with 15% (up from 14%), followed by EKRE with 13% (unchanged) and the ruling Reform Party with 12% (up one percentage point).

Coalition partner Eesti 200 received 3% support, up from 2% in May but still below the 5% threshold. The extra-parliamentary Right Party saw a sharp decline from 11% to 7%.

Overall, the governing coalition's position remains weak: the combined support for the Reform Party and Eesti 200 is just 15%, while 73% of voters would support opposition parliamentary parties (Center Party, Isamaa, Social Democrats, and EKRE). The poll results contrast sharply with the current composition of the Riigikogu, where the coalition holds a parliamentary majority despite significantly lower voter support.

The poll was conducted from June 16 to 25 among 906 Estonian citizens aged 18 and older.

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