World Cup round of 16: Spain favored over Portugal; USA face Belgium amid red card controversy
The FIFA World Cup round of 16 continues with two matches on Monday, as Portugal take on Spain and the USA meet Belgium. Opta predictions favor Spain, while a political intervention over a red card has stirred controversy.
The knockout stage of the FIFA World Cup intensifies on Monday with two high-stakes encounters. Portugal and Spain renew their historic rivalry in Dallas, while the United States face Belgium in Seattle. Meanwhile, Sunday's results saw England survive a thriller against Mexico, Norway eliminate Brazil, and a controversy involving US player Folarin Balogun's suspension.
Portugal vs Spain: Predictions
Statisticians at Opta have simulated the match 25,000 times. Spain emerge as favorites, winning in regular time in 49.2% of simulations. Portugal are predicted to win in 90 minutes in 25.6% of cases, while a draw leading to extra time is forecast in 25.2%. The two sides have met five times in major tournaments, with one win each and three draws, including a memorable 3-3 draw in the 2018 World Cup.
USA vs Belgium: Head-to-head and Predictions
The United States have historically struggled against Belgium, losing all six encounters since a 3-0 win in 1930. Their most recent meeting in March saw a 5-2 Belgium victory. Opta's simulations give the USA a 37.2% chance of winning inside 90 minutes, Belgium 36.5%, and a draw 26.3%.
Remaining schedule
The round of 16 concludes Tuesday with Argentina vs Egypt and Switzerland vs Colombia. Already through to the quarterfinals are Morocco, France, Norway, and England.
Sunday’s action and controversies
England defeated Mexico 3-2 in a dramatic match at the Azteca Stadium, with Jude Bellingham scoring twice and Harry Kane adding a penalty. England will now face Norway, who stunned Brazil 2-1. Erling Haaland scored both Norwegian goals.
After the match, Brazil star Neymar announced his retirement from international football, citing his injury struggles. He finishes as Brazil's all-time top scorer.
A major talking point came from an off-field decision: FIFA suspended US forward Folarin Balogun's automatic one-match ban following a red card, making him eligible to face Belgium. Reports indicate US President Donald Trump contacted FIFA president Gianni Infantino to request a review. The move sparked criticism from Belgium and raised questions about political interference in football governance.
