AI is reshaping IT careers in Latvia, not eliminating them
While artificial intelligence is automating parts of software development, Latvia's Economy Ministry projects the shortage of ICT specialists could reach 6,400 workers by 2040. An industry expert argues AI is transforming the IT profession rather than replacing it.
According to projections from Latvia's Ministry of Economics, the country could face a shortage of around 3,600 ICT specialists by 2030, growing to as many as 6,400 by 2040. At the same time, public debate increasingly centers on whether artificial intelligence will soon replace programmers and other IT professionals.
Digitalization is driving demand
Companies across all sectors — manufacturing, healthcare, finance, logistics and public administration — are adopting digital and AI-based solutions faster than new IT specialists are entering the workforce. This is fueling demand for people who can develop, adapt and safely manage technological solutions, as well as assess risks and make technically sound decisions.
The role is changing, not disappearing
AI is mainly taking over simple, repetitive and clearly defined coding tasks, but programming has long involved much more — precisely defining problems, designing system architecture, and taking responsibility for the business impact of technical decisions. Because AI automates entry-level tasks the fastest, newcomers are finding it harder to gain their first practical experience, even as demand for experienced specialists remains strong.
Broader thinking will be valued most
A solid understanding of systems, data and algorithms will remain essential, since it allows specialists to judge whether an AI-generated answer is correct. Increasingly important will be the ability to work with AI as a collaborator — knowing which tasks to delegate to it and where human judgment is still required. Specialists who combine technical skills with business and product understanding will be valued most.
The rise of AI is also making the tech sector more accessible to people transitioning from other fields, such as marketing, finance, medicine or sales, since faster feedback loops make learning more efficient, and building new products or companies now requires fewer resources than before.
Digital literacy is gradually becoming a universal skill, and a lack of practical experience — rather than insufficient theoretical knowledge — is often the biggest obstacle to landing a first job in the sector.
