Japan emerges as World Cup dark horse contender
BBC Sport analyzes Japan as one of the main dark horses for the 2026 World Cup, citing its strong squad, recent form, and experience against top European sides.
Every World Cup has a team that defies expectations and goes further than predicted. With the tournament expanded to 48 teams, there are more potential dark horses than ever, but Japan appears particularly well-equipped for a deep and unexpected run.
In 2022, Japan defeated Germany and Spain to top their group, only to lose to Croatia on penalties in the round of 16. Four years on, they prepare for their opening match against the Netherlands on June 13. Group F also includes Sweden and Tunisia, and Japan is unbeaten in its last nine matches against European opponents.
Former captain and defender Maya Yoshida, now a non-playing support player, told BBC Sport that reaching the quarter-finals – a stage Japan has never reached – is the main goal. Head coach Hajime Moriyasu expressed confidence in his squad, noting that many players have gained experience in Europe's top leagues.
Since 2022, Japan has beaten England, Germany, and Brazil. Yoshida credited the growing number of Japanese players in Europe's top five leagues for the team's improved competitiveness. Other potential surprises include Mexico, Ecuador, Turkey, and South Korea. Former England striker Chris Sutton predicted Japan will be dangerous for any opponent.
