Polls open in historic Makerfield byelection that may decide Keir Starmer's fate

Polls opened on Thursday in the Makerfield constituency, near Wigan, for what is considered one of the most consequential byelections in recent British political history. The election was triggered by the resignation of Labour MP Josh Simons, who stepped down to allow Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham a clear path back to Parliament and a potential bid for prime minister.

Burnham urged voters to “vote to change politics,” saying he would take the fight as high as possible. Although Makerfield has been a safe Labour seat since its creation in 1983, the governing party faces a strong challenge from Nigel Farage's Reform UK. Reform's candidate Robert Kenyon has been hampered by revelations of past sexist social media posts and poor media performances, but polls still show a tight race.

On Wednesday, Prime Minister Keir Starmer said he would offer Burnham a “big” job in his government if he wins. However, Burnham’s allies said he was not interested, arguing that his advantage is being a “wind of change” untainted by the government's failures.

Burnham's campaign has asked several ministers to delay resignations to prevent government chaos. Some ministers have already offered to quit to pressure Starmer. Burnham's supporters hope for a “coronation” where Starmer steps aside rather than a damaging leadership contest. But Starmer has repeatedly insisted he will not stand down and will fight any challenge.

Up to 3,000 Labour campaigners, including hundreds of MPs, are expected in Makerfield, canvassing and leafleting. Local hotels are fully booked, and some organizers fear voters may become annoyed by the sheer number of activists. Some MPs noted that every door has been knocked at least six or seven times.

Polls close at 10 pm local time, and the result is expected to be a pivotal moment for the Labour government and Starmer's leadership.